How the Shiv Sena (UBT) performed in Maharashtra's Lok Sabha elections | Analysis



The Maha Vikas Aghadi (MVA), comprising Shiv Sena (UBT), NCP (SP), and Congress, secured 30 out of 48 seats in the Maharashtra Lok Sabha polls. However, the Shiv Sena (UBT) itself only won nine out of the 21 seats it contested, a significant drop from the 18 seats it won in 2019 as an undivided entity.

In contrast, Congress emerged as the strongest party within the MVA, winning 13 out of 17 seats, achieving a 76 percent strike rate. The NCP (SP) also performed well, winning eight out of ten seats, with an 80 percent strike rate.

This election marked the first general elections for Shiv Sena (UBT) after splitting into two factions: Shiv Sena (UBT) and Shiv Sena (Shinde faction). The party faced significant challenges, losing in strongholds like Ratnagiri-Sindhudurg, Sambhaji Nagar, and Thane. Despite maintaining dominance in Mumbai by winning four out of six seats, the Election Commission data indicated a shift in minority votes, traditionally loyal to Congress and NCP (SP), towards Shiv Sena (UBT), rather than core Marathi voters.

In a direct contest on 13 seats between Shiv Sena (UBT) and Shinde's faction, Shiv Sena (UBT) won six seats, while Shinde's faction won seven. The total votes for Shinde's faction were 62,65,584, compared to 60,38,891 for Shiv Sena (UBT), indicating Shinde's faction received 2,26,693 more votes.

These statistics show that despite the sympathy factor and traditional vote transfers from allies, Shiv Sena (UBT) struggled to retain control in parts of the state outside Mumbai.


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