Why do the news media call the outcomes of the US presidential election


The news media plays a crucial role in announcing U.S. election results, primarily because the official process, which is managed by state and local governments, can take days or even weeks to conclude. This intricate system, while essential for the democratic process, can leave voters in the dark about immediate outcomes. The Associated Press (AP) steps in to fill this gap by providing timely, independent race calls that ensure voters are informed of election results before the official certification occurs.

As election night unfolds and polls close, many Americans find themselves anxiously awaiting updates from the AP or major television networks to learn who will be the next president. This raises an important question: why does the news media play such a significant role in this process? Shouldn't it be the responsibility of the government to inform citizens about election outcomes? This concern highlights the broader conversation about the intersection of media, democracy, and public trust.

Indeed, state and local governments are the entities responsible for running and administering American elections, including the high-stakes race for the presidency. They manage everything from counting the votes to maintaining the official records of who won and by what margin. However, the timeline for this official process—from poll closing to final certification—can vary dramatically across different states, often stretching from several days to more than a month. In the context of the presidential race, the formal process of electing the president via the Electoral College does not conclude until early January. During this extended period, no federal agency or election commission provides public updates about the status of the vote counts, leading to a potential information vacuum that can be detrimental to the democratic process.

David Scott, a vice president at AP overseeing the news agency's election operations, pointed out, “That's a gap in the Constitution left by the founders that AP stepped in to fill just two years after our company was founded.” Scott emphasizes the necessity for Americans to have access to an independent, non-partisan source that can provide a comprehensive picture of the election, particularly the critical news of who has won. This perspective reflects a foundational principle of democracy: the right to information.

Founded in 1846 as a cooperative of newspapers, the AP tabulated election results for the first time in 1848 when Zachary Taylor was elected president as a member of the Whig Party. This monumental effort relied on telegraph communication and lasted a grueling 72 hours, costing an astounding $1,000 at the time—a significant sum for the era. The innovation in communication technologies has since transformed how election results are reported, showcasing the evolution of media in the democratic process.

The evolution of election reporting has been marked by significant milestones, such as the first election broadcast in 1916 over a limited network of ham radios. This event famously culminated in an incorrect announcement that Republican candidate Charles Evans Hughes had won over Democrat Woodrow Wilson. The AP subsequently called the race for Wilson two days later after obtaining results from California. Such instances illustrate the challenges of early election reporting and the importance of accuracy in media communications.

By the early 1960s, the AP, along with three major broadcast networks—ABC, CBS, and NBC—began conducting independent vote counts. They eventually agreed to pool their resources during the 1964 election to compile the vote count for key races, an arrangement that persisted for over 50 years and expanded to include exit polling of Election Day voters. This collaboration between media organizations demonstrated a collective commitment to providing accurate election information to the public, reinforcing the vital role of journalism in democracy. 

After the contentious 2016 election, the AP chose to leave the network pool to continue its independent vote count and introduced the AP VoteCast survey of the American electorate, providing an alternative to the networks' exit polls. Currently, the networks, which now include CNN, continue to participate in the pooling arrangement and obtain their vote count and exit poll data from Edison Research. Fox News also subscribes to AP's vote count and collaborates with the agency to conduct the VoteCast survey, further expanding the reach and credibility of election reporting.

It's crucial to note that while the AP reports on election results, it does not tabulate the actual votes cast by individual voters. That responsibility falls to local government election officials, who are tasked with administering elections across the United States. The Constitution, while setting some broad guidelines, largely leaves the specifics of running elections to the states, resulting in 51 distinct sets of rules governing the electoral process, including one for the District of Columbia. This decentralized approach to election management can lead to a lack of uniformity that complicates the reporting process.

The variation in election processes can lead to disparities in how quickly results are reported. For example, in New Hampshire, election results may be officially certified a few days after Election Day, while in California, the tabulation process can extend for several weeks, with final results not available until early December. Most states fall somewhere in between these extremes, contributing to a complex landscape for election reporting that necessitates diligent reporting from media organizations.

In many jurisdictions, the format used to report results can complicate the immediate determination of who has won. Some officials may not include percentages alongside raw vote totals or may present candidate vote totals for the same contest across multiple pages of a scanned PDF document. While most election officials post unofficial results for their county or town online on election night, a few may delay their initial results, adding further uncertainty to the process. This inconsistency underscores the importance of media in synthesizing complex data into accessible information for voters.

The AP's vote count is designed to make sense of this information overload. Scott explains, “What we're doing is stitching all of the vote totals together from thousands of counties and towns nationwide into a single, standardized format so that voters have access to the overall vote count for a race.” This approach enhances transparency and ensures that voters receive consistent and reliable information regarding the election results. The AP's efforts reflect a commitment to empowering voters through informed decision-making, which is foundational to a healthy democracy.

When it comes to declaring election winners, the presidential election is uniquely complex due to the intricacies of the Electoral College. The Constitution mandates that each state determine its electors and send the results of their presidential votes to the National Archives and Congress for tallying a few weeks after Election Day. In contemporary elections, states have directed electors to vote for the candidate who wins the popular vote within their jurisdiction. This system allows voters to have a clear understanding of who has won the presidency well before the formal Electoral College proceedings conclude. This expectation of timely information is increasingly important in a fast-paced news environment.

The race calls made by the AP and various networks, while not official government declarations, provide a timely and independent assessment of the electoral landscape. Anna Johnson, the AP's Washington bureau chief, noted, “The AP's standard is to call a race whenever we are 100% certain there is no path for the trailing candidate to overtake the leading candidate.” This rigorous standard is applied consistently across all races, from the presidency down to local contests, further establishing the credibility of AP’s reporting.

The independent and timely race calls made by the AP and other media outlets play a vital role in ensuring that voters are not only aware of who won a race but also understand the dynamics of how the victory was achieved. In an era where information can spread rapidly, the AP’s efforts help provide clarity and context, reinforcing the importance of informed participation in the democratic process. As election night unfolds, the role of the news media becomes increasingly critical, bridging the gap between official processes and public awareness, thereby ensuring that the electorate remains informed and engaged.

This function of the media extends beyond mere reporting; it fosters a sense of community and shared experience among voters. In a democratic society, informed citizens are essential for holding leaders accountable, understanding policy implications, and engaging in meaningful discussions about the future. Thus, the media's role in announcing election results goes beyond immediate announcements; it lays the groundwork for a more engaged and knowledgeable electorate.

Furthermore, the rapid evolution of technology continues to reshape the landscape of election reporting. In recent years, social media platforms and digital news outlets have emerged as influential sources of information, providing real-time updates and engaging with audiences in ways traditional media may not. This has created both opportunities and challenges for election reporting, as the speed of information dissemination can lead to the spread of misinformation. It highlights the need for media literacy among the public and the responsibility of news organizations to prioritize accuracy and accountability in their reporting.

In conclusion, the role of the news media in announcing U.S. election results is essential for maintaining a well-informed electorate and supporting the democratic process. As the AP and other media outlets navigate the complexities of election reporting, they provide a vital service that empowers voters, promotes transparency, and fosters engagement in democracy. The evolving landscape of media, technology, and public expectations will undoubtedly continue to shape how election results are communicated in the future, making it imperative for news organizations to adapt and uphold the highest standards of integrity in their reporting. The interplay between media and democracy remains a dynamic and crucial aspect of civic life, ensuring that the voices of the electorate are heard and respected in the halls of power.


 

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