Why China's DeepSeek caused a decline in global AI equities is explained


Last night's trading session on Wall Street brought turbulence, particularly for tech and artificial intelligence (AI) companies, which were severely impacted as investors scrambled to understand the full extent of the damage. Nvidia, a leader in the AI chipmaking space, experienced an unprecedented loss in its market value. The company's stock plummeted by nearly 17%, marking an astounding $593 billion loss in market capitalization in just a single day. This massive decline was indicative of broader struggles within the tech sector, as other major companies like Microsoft, Alphabet, and Dell Technologies also saw sharp declines in their stock prices, with investors aggressively offloading shares amid growing concerns about the tech landscape.

However, the turbulence was not confined to the US markets. Global AI stocks were hit hard, and the source of this widespread market volatility was a Chinese startup called DeepSeek. This company has recently launched its AI models, DeepSeek-R1 and DeepSeek-V3, both of which have shaken the global tech industry to its core. DeepSeek’s new AI chatbot models, priced far below the competition, have created a serious challenge for market leaders like OpenAI, with DeepSeek positioning itself as an attractive, cost-effective alternative to US-based AI giants.

The extent of the impact was dramatic, and the ripple effect was immediately felt in the stock market, particularly in the tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite, which saw a 3.07% drop, while the S&P 500 fell by nearly 1.5%. Nvidia, one of the biggest casualties, saw its shares fall drastically, losing nearly 17%, and its market capitalization suffered a jaw-dropping loss of $593 billion in one session. This marked the largest single-day drop in its history. The Philadelphia Semiconductor Index, which tracks semiconductor stocks, experienced a severe 9.2% plunge, marking its steepest drop since March 2020, as chipmakers faced massive selling pressure.

DeepSeek’s entrance into the AI race is shaking the global tech sector, particularly due to its low-cost AI solutions. The DeepSeek-R1 AI model, in particular, has raised eyebrows because of its unprecedented cost efficiency. Unlike competitors, DeepSeek claims that its AI assistant operates with much less data than alternatives like OpenAI’s ChatGPT, which dramatically reduces operational costs. DeepSeek’s solution uses only 2,000 Nvidia H800 chips, in stark contrast to the large number of chips required for models like ChatGPT, making it much cheaper to run. According to DeepSeek, its new AI model costs 20 to 50 times less than those developed by OpenAI. This has given the startup an immediate competitive advantage in the market, prompting a massive influx of downloads for DeepSeek’s app, which by Monday had already surpassed ChatGPT in downloads on Apple’s App Store.

This achievement has prompted some to draw a historic parallel. Silicon Valley venture capitalist Marc Andreessen, in particular, labeled DeepSeek’s arrival as AI’s "Sputnik moment," drawing a comparison to the Soviet Union's 1957 launch of Sputnik, which sparked the space race. In Andreessen's view, DeepSeek's disruptive innovation in AI has the potential to reshape the entire AI sector in much the same way Sputnik transformed the global technological and geopolitical landscape during the Cold War.

DeepSeek’s low-cost model, however, is not just about its technical innovation; it also has a significant geopolitical impact. The fact that DeepSeek’s AI models require fewer chips has sparked concerns in Washington. The lower chip usage could help DeepSeek circumvent US export restrictions that were designed to limit China’s AI development, raising a number of questions about the future of international AI regulation and competition.

In terms of broader market implications, the damage was not limited to just Nvidia. Other technology giants such as Microsoft, Alphabet, and Dell Technologies also faced steep losses as the tech sector reeled from the implications of DeepSeek’s breakthrough. Semiconductor companies such as Broadcom were particularly hard hit, with shares dropping by 17.4%. Similarly, AI-focused infrastructure firms like Digital Realty and Vertiv Holdings also experienced significant selling pressure, which reflected investor anxiety over the future of AI development.

The effects of DeepSeek’s disruption were not confined to the US. Overseas, tech stocks across Japan’s SoftBank and Europe’s ASML also saw significant declines. This global sell-off has raised concerns about the long-term viability of the current trajectory for AI companies, particularly those that rely heavily on expensive chip infrastructure to power their operations.

As the dust settled, Nvidia responded to the crisis, acknowledging DeepSeek’s technological breakthrough but reiterating the importance of its own chips in AI development. Nvidia’s executives stressed that while DeepSeek's innovation is noteworthy, Nvidia remains at the forefront of AI research and development due to its specialized chip technology. Similarly, OpenAI CEO Sam Altman, while acknowledging DeepSeek’s achievement, praised the company’s low-cost model, calling the R1 AI model “impressive.” Altman, however, emphasized that OpenAI’s models continue to offer unparalleled value for their capabilities, suggesting that competition will ultimately lead to advancements across the entire sector.

The arrival of DeepSeek has forced many investors to reassess the future of AI, particularly with respect to the demand for chips, data centers, and the associated infrastructure that have driven tech stocks to record highs over the last two years. Brian Jacobsen, chief economist at Annex Wealth Management, suggested that DeepSeek’s entry into the AI race might fundamentally alter the current AI narrative, shaking investor confidence in the dominant US-based players. Dr. VK Vijayakumar, Chief Investment Strategist at Geojit Financial Services, further highlighted that DeepSeek’s impact could serve as a "reality check" for an overvalued market, potentially bringing some sobering adjustments to the global stock markets in the near future.

Despite the challenges posed by DeepSeek, not all experts are pessimistic. Daniel Morgan, managing director of Synovus Trust Company, expressed that companies like Nvidia and other chipmakers remain crucial to the broader AI infrastructure, particularly in the data center market. According to Morgan, the "real money" in AI lies not just in creating models, but in building the infrastructure that supports them. This suggests that while DeepSeek’s low-cost AI models may disrupt the market, traditional chipmakers still hold essential roles in powering the future of AI.

Looking ahead, DeepSeek's emergence has undoubtedly added a layer of uncertainty to the AI race. With its groundbreaking low-cost solutions, DeepSeek has injected new competition into a sector that was previously dominated by US-based giants. As the landscape continues to shift, companies like Nvidia and OpenAI will likely have to adapt to a rapidly evolving competitive environment. The arrival of DeepSeek has raised important questions about whether US companies can maintain their technological edge as new, more cost-efficient players emerge. For now, DeepSeek’s disruptive impact on the AI market remains a key topic of discussion, as investors and tech experts brace for the next phase in the ongoing AI revolution.


 

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